← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.57+2.51vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.36vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.32-1.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.18vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.54vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.09-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51Fordham University1.570.2%1st Place
-
5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
2.64University of Pennsylvania2.180.3%1st Place
-
2.49Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
-
3.82University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
4.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
5.7Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 15.8% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 28.1% | 31.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 26.8% | 26.1% | 21.5% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 32.0% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Brook Wood | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 11.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 23.1% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.