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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+2.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.18vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.55vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-3.54vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Fordham University1.570.2%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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2.64University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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2.46Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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5.74Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 15.7% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 27.0% | 31.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 25.0% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 12.5% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Brook Wood | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 11.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 33.3% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 23.0% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.