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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32-1.48vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.52vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09-0.17vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Pennsylvania2.180.3%1st Place
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3.76University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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2.52Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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5.83Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.41Fordham University1.570.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 30.1% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 4.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 30.0% | 30.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 29.2% | 25.9% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Brook Wood | 6.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 11.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 48.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.