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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.11vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03-0.67vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.39-1.15vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.33Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.38Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 36.1% | 32.1% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 31.1% | 26.6% | 25.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 22.1% | 24.0% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.9% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 31.1% | 32.1% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 45.7% | 12.5% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.