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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.39+0.87vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+0.28vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.24-2.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.29vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.28Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.08Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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5.71University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
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2.39Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 22.0% | 23.7% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 7.5% | 0.3% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 31.6% | 29.8% | 6.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 21.3% | 47.7% | 10.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 36.9% | 29.9% | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 83.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 27.8% | 28.0% | 26.0% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.