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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.61vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03-1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.39-1.14vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.34Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.37Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 35.9% | 31.1% | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 23.2% | 25.1% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 29.4% | 27.9% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.3% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 33.0% | 31.6% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 22.8% | 45.5% | 12.4% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 12.1% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.