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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.66vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03-0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.39-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-3.58+0.68vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend0.24-3.84vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.82-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.3Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.87University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
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2.16Penn State Behrend0.240.3%1st Place
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4.33Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 20.5% | 25.1% | 28.6% | 19.8% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 32.6% | 26.4% | 24.1% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 30.9% | 32.7% | 5.4% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 81.8% |
| Anthony Farrar | 34.6% | 31.2% | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 23.1% | 44.7% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.