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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+0.12vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.39-0.17vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.36vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.34Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.83University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.36Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 36.2% | 31.0% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexa Whitman | 29.9% | 27.7% | 25.2% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 33.3% | 3.8% |
| Cole Bender | 21.6% | 24.2% | 29.3% | 18.9% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 23.2% | 44.7% | 12.6% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 10.4% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.