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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+0.53vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.61vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-3.80+2.47vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.20-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-0.71-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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3.61Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.04Syracuse University-1.420.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Pittsburgh-3.800.0%1st Place
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3.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rochester-3.200.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Toronto-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 62.5% | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.2% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 26.1% | 21.9% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Collin Ross | 5.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 31.8% | 12.6% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Katilius | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 25.2% | 64.7% |
| Ashley Franklin | 9.6% | 20.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Ingemar Hentschel | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 48.2% | 32.4% |
| Yunus Akcor | 14.1% | 24.1% | 23.7% | 22.2% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.