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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto-0.71+2.16vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.60vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+1.05vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-2.46vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.20-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.66-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Toronto-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.6Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.05Syracuse University-1.420.1%1st Place
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1.54Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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3.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Rochester-3.200.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Pittsburgh-3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunus Akcor | 13.6% | 22.3% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.2% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 23.8% | 23.2% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Collin Ross | 6.6% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 29.2% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 61.7% | 25.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 9.6% | 20.1% | 25.7% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Ingemar Hentschel | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 44.2% | 36.6% |
| Nate Asplund | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 27.8% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.