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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.58+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.85+0.17vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.20+2.27vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University-0.30-0.33vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.03-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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7Hope College-3.05+0.81vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.27-2.65vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-3.32-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Michigan0.850.4%1st Place
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5.27Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.67Case Western Reserve University-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.19Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Toledo-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.81Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.35Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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8.1Ohio University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 10.8% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Ayers | 40.1% | 27.9% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Liu | 12.2% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 19.8% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mansvi Soni | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 39.1% | 38.2% |
| Emily Williams | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% |
| Kieran Boetger | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 27.4% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.