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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.50vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+0.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22-1.73vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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3.41Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.27Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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4.65Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.64Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 25.5% | 26.8% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 26.2% | 26.9% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.7% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 35.1% | 18.6% | 1.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.8% | 27.1% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 51.9% | 19.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 15.8% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.