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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+2.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+0.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.51vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.39vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.24Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.58Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.64Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 9.7% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 33.8% | 17.8% | 3.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 35.0% | 26.1% | 22.9% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.0% | 24.7% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 52.3% | 17.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 24.2% | 26.6% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 14.5% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.