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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+2.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.49vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.77vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.38vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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2.23Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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4.57Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.62U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.64Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 9.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 34.3% | 18.1% | 3.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.7% | 26.1% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 34.4% | 26.0% | 24.8% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 52.0% | 16.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 23.9% | 25.3% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 14.4% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.