← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.22+0.24vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.18+0.40vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.49vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
-
2.24Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
-
3.4Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
2.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
-
4.65Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.64Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 25.1% | 26.3% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 34.3% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 33.9% | 18.3% | 1.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 25.8% | 25.4% | 25.8% | 18.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 52.0% | 19.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 16.2% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.