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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+1.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18-0.57vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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2.49U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.65Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.64Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 31.1% | 28.3% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 27.6% | 25.3% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 26.6% | 24.9% | 26.3% | 17.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 34.2% | 19.6% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 51.9% | 19.5% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 16.1% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.