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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+1.06vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+1.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.55vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.51vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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3.17Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.25U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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3.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.49Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.59Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 39.1% | 30.2% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 14.0% | 17.6% | 25.3% | 25.9% | 15.2% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 31.7% | 30.2% | 22.9% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 10.9% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 44.4% | 18.6% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 15.6% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.