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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+1.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.98vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-1.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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3.12Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.02Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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5.58Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.1% | 33.6% | 20.6% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 14.9% | 17.7% | 26.5% | 24.7% | 14.2% | 2.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 41.0% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 20.6% | 44.8% | 14.8% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.8% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 29.0% | 21.6% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 14.5% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.