← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.09+1.94vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute0.40+0.47vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College0.20-0.31vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.09+0.43vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-1.59vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy-2.94+0.36vs Predicted
-
7Hamilton College-1.45-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94Columbia University0.0921.2%1st Place
-
2.47Webb Institute0.4030.3%1st Place
-
2.69SUNY Maritime College0.2025.6%1st Place
-
4.43SUNY Stony Brook-1.095.8%1st Place
-
3.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3714.1%1st Place
-
6.36U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
-
5.71Hamilton College-1.452.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 21.2% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Woods | 30.3% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 25.6% | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 32.5% | 20.9% | 4.6% |
| Carson Totino | 14.1% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 21.9% | 64.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 13.1% | 42.8% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.