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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.68+3.78vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.11vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+5.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86+3.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.18vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.90vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-0.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-1.74vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-1.92vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58-2.03vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.85-2.41vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52+0.49vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.37-2.08vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-5.33vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-2.12vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute-0.08-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Tulane University2.6814.9%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.4011.8%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy2.2811.9%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.865.3%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.2%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.8%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.6%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University1.857.6%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania1.583.1%1st Place
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10.59Eckerd College0.853.2%1st Place
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14.49Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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12.92Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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14.88University of Michigan-0.260.6%1st Place
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14.13Webb Institute-0.081.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| William Kulas | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 24.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 31.8% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.