← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.79+8.70vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia3.54+4.82vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.73+7.02vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.84+5.20vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26+2.62vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.83+6.12vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University4.51-5.29vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+2.88vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-5.05vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.37-4.35vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.79-3.58vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-5.60vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.85-1.94vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.34-4.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.69-3.32vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University1.41-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.7University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
6.82University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
10.02Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.2Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
-
13.12University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
-
3.71Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
12.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
-
5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.65U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
-
13.06Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
-
11.35Georgetown University2.340.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
-
14.27Georgetown University1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Gill | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| Ike Babbitt | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 22.7% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Allsopp | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Evan Siepert | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% |
| Simon Chivi | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| William Pilling | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 20.1% |
| Iacopo Lash | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.