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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+7.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+2.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.38+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.64+4.40vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+0.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.72vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.55-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-2.60vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University2.37+0.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.66-6.31vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-5.23vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.03-0.23vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.77-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.24Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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15.77Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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16.49Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 24.4% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Marshall | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Foster | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 55.3% | 30.6% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 26.1% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.