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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.31vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+1.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.56vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.52vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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3.15Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.03Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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3.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.48Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.59Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.2% | 32.1% | 21.7% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 14.2% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 25.9% | 14.9% | 2.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 41.2% | 28.0% | 19.6% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 10.9% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 30.3% | 20.1% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 44.5% | 18.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 15.6% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.