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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+1.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+1.42vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+1.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.74vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18-1.71vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.26U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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3.29Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.59Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 40.3% | 29.3% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 11.1% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 27.7% | 20.0% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 45.6% | 15.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 30.5% | 30.4% | 25.2% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 12.0% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 28.5% | 15.0% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.