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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+2.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.24vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.54vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.50vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.24U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.03Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.5Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.58Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 13.0% | 18.7% | 25.6% | 24.7% | 14.9% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 32.8% | 30.0% | 21.5% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 39.5% | 31.0% | 19.1% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.8% | 13.3% | 23.4% | 31.2% | 19.3% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 18.8% | 44.7% | 18.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 15.9% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.