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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+2.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+0.04vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+1.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-1.46vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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2.04Georgetown University3.220.4%1st Place
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4.41Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.26U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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5.57Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 14.0% | 17.3% | 26.5% | 24.1% | 15.6% | 2.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 39.3% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 20.0% | 44.5% | 15.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 31.1% | 30.8% | 22.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.5% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 29.6% | 20.2% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 14.0% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.