← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.97+8.08vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.38+5.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.84vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.45+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.37+2.20vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.55vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.86vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.96vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+0.89vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy1.17+2.38vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.28+0.80vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University1.51-0.86vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.86vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-6.74vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.36vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.01vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy1.29-5.25vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-10.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.08Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
-
7.38Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.91Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.2Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.86U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.96U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.38U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.8Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.14Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.14U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
13.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.75U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Smith | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Raam Fox | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 24.0% |
| Lina Carper | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.