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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.38+6.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+7.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.66vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+2.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.58vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.97+2.86vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.08vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.37-2.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-3.31vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-6.78vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.51-4.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.29-4.27vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-9.48vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.28-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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12.93St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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13.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.0%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.76Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 10.0% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Lina Carper | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 17.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 28.0% |
| Raam Fox | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.