← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+11.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+5.09vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.38+4.38vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97+4.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.54vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+1.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54-0.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.89vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28+0.93vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.22vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.45vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-4.38vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.51-4.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.17-3.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.29-5.17vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.25U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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13.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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12.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 23.8% |
| Raam Fox | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.