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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.38+6.44vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+5.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45+4.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.97+3.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+5.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.54-1.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.76vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-5.74vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.51-3.57vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-5.17vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.20vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.17-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.72Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.43Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.0%1st Place
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13.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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13.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Raam Fox | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 25.3% |
| Lina Carper | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.2% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.