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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+5.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.48vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97+4.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.87+4.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.39vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.37+0.08vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.17+2.94vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-0.07vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.38-3.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.22vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-2.22vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.51-3.78vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-3.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.29-4.45vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-9.68vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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10.22Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.47Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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13.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.6% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Raam Fox | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.5% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.