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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.56+8.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.38+4.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.22+2.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86+5.98vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.48vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.39vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.66vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-0.08vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.28-0.24vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.51-2.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-5.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.97-6.52vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-6.33vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.37-9.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.70-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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12.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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13.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.0%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 20.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Raam Fox | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Josephine Sherry | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.