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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+8.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.38+2.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+5.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.370.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86+4.87vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.51+1.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.79vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-3.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.74vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-3.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.22-8.39vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.70-3.35vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.97-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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11.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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6.86Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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13.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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12.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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13.65U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.4% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 22.5% |
| Raam Fox | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Josephine Sherry | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 22.6% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.