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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+9.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+5.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+2.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+2.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.85vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.38-2.36vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.51+0.39vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.97-2.57vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.28-0.70vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.37-6.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.11vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.55-8.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.70-3.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.11-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.0%1st Place
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12.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.39Georgetown University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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13.22U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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15.3U. S. Naval Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Raam Fox | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% |
| Josephine Sherry | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% |
| Darby Dryden | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.