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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.21+1.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.13vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.87+0.16vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.10-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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3.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.16Webb Institute-0.870.1%1st Place
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1.52SUNY Maritime College1.100.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 24.2% | 41.2% | 26.1% | 8.5% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 7.4% | 15.6% | 33.8% | 43.2% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 8.8% | 12.8% | 31.6% | 46.8% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 59.6% | 30.4% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.