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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.81vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.40-0.18vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-1.13+0.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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1.82Hamilton College0.400.4%1st Place
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3.18Webb Institute-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.19SUNY Maritime College-0.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 15.7% | 18.9% | 34.5% | 30.9% |
| Ethan Stone | 44.7% | 33.3% | 17.1% | 4.9% |
| Jack Prior | 10.0% | 13.1% | 25.5% | 51.4% |
| Thomas Roeber | 29.6% | 34.7% | 22.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.