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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.40+0.78vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.23vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-1.13+0.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Hamilton College0.400.5%1st Place
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2.23SUNY Maritime College-0.060.3%1st Place
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3.21Webb Institute-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 47.5% | 31.9% | 15.6% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Roeber | 27.6% | 34.6% | 24.9% | 12.9% |
| Jack Prior | 10.0% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 54.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 14.9% | 20.5% | 36.6% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.