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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.40+0.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-1.13+1.17vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.77vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Hamilton College0.400.5%1st Place
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3.17Webb Institute-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.23SUNY Maritime College-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 47.7% | 30.4% | 16.1% | 5.8% |
| Jack Prior | 9.4% | 14.3% | 25.9% | 50.4% |
| Thomas Roeber | 28.2% | 34.7% | 23.0% | 14.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 14.7% | 20.6% | 35.0% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.