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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.89+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+2.60vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.07-0.13vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.56+0.49vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.80+3.67vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.08+0.27vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.20-0.04vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.75+3.32vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.96+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas0.47-5.32vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-2.28+1.63vs Predicted
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14Indiana University-0.26-4.90vs Predicted
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15Hope College-1.61-2.04vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-2.01-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-1.22-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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3.05University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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5.6University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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6.52Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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10.67Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.27Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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8.96Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.32Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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14.63University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.1Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.96Hope College-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.11Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 14.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 27.0% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Wyatt Tait | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 13.5% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 37.2% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 12.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 25.4% |
| Jack O'Connor | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.