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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.07+3.84vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.89+1.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+5.76vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.86+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.25-0.56vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.56+0.49vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.26+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.42vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.08-0.44vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80+0.63vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.54-4.35vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.96-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-1.22-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-2.28+0.71vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-2.01-1.04vs Predicted
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16Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.54vs Predicted
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17Hope College-1.61-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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3.04University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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8.76Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.98Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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8.56Washington University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.65Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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13.96Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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13.46Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.11Hope College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 27.5% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Jack O'Connor | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| John Cayen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 37.3% |
| Jack Charlton | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| Edmund Redman | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.