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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+2.37vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.08+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.10+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.96+4.03vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.56-1.93vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.80+1.65vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.20-2.36vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.54-5.77vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-2.28+1.57vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-1.22-2.02vs Predicted
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15Hope College-1.61-2.12vs Predicted
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16Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.64vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-2.01-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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4.27University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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8.15Washington University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.07Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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10.65Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.72Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.64Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.23Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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14.57University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.88Hope College-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.36Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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14.02Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 30.0% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 36.6% |
| Jack O'Connor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Edmund Redman | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 12.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.