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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.10+4.62vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.25+0.33vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.56+1.07vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.26+2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.51vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.54-1.86vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.20-0.25vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80+0.50vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.08-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-1.22-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-2.28+1.55vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.61vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-2.01-1.14vs Predicted
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16Hope College-1.61-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-0.96-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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5.28University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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6.07Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.98Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.14Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.75Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.5Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.25Washington University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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13.39Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.86Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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13.02Hope College-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 30.7% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Wyatt Tait | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack O'Connor | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| John Cayen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 36.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% |
| Jack Charlton | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 24.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.