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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+3.65vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.50+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.18-0.18vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.30+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+4.68vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.77vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.67+0.90vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.45+2.74vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.60+2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.22-3.28vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.53-0.16vs Predicted
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13Washington University-1.65-0.74vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.27-6.05vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-1.68-2.80vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.84-3.18vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-2.87-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.53Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
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5.94Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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8.9Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.74Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.02Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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11.84Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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12.26Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.95Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Minnesota-1.680.0%1st Place
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12.82Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 23.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 19.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Eva Paschke | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| George Warfel | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Tony Harkins | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% |
| Kate Norman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.