← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.27+2.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas0.60+3.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.18+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University0.50+1.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.43+0.55vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University0.30+0.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-1.10+3.53vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University-0.67+0.94vs Predicted
-
9Washington University-1.65+3.34vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-1.60+2.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Minnesota-1.68+1.30vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-1.53-0.21vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan-0.22-5.24vs Predicted
-
14Grand Valley State University-1.45-2.30vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University-0.27-7.14vs Predicted
-
16Western Michigan University-1.84-3.20vs Predicted
-
17University of Notre Dame-2.87-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
-
5.15University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
-
5.58Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.55University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
-
6.19Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
-
10.53University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
-
8.94Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
12.34Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
12.04Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.3University of Minnesota-1.680.0%1st Place
-
11.79Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.76University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
-
11.7Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
7.86Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
-
12.8Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
15.21University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 22.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 18.0% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Eva Paschke | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| George Warfel | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tony Harkins | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Kate Norman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.