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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.60+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.53+2.64vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.30+2.30vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.50+0.60vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.67+3.41vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60+5.11vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.27-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.10+1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-1.68+2.36vs Predicted
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11Washington University-1.65+1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-2.87+3.18vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.53-1.08vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-1.84-1.13vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-1.45-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-10.07vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.18-12.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.3Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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5.6Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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9.41Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.11Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.87Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Minnesota-1.680.0%1st Place
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12.37Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.92Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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12.87Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.66Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 20.7% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| George Warfel | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Kellen Crum | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Kate Norman | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 51.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Tony Harkins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 18.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.