← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.43+4.54vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.27+1.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.18+0.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.22+2.51vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University0.50-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.27+0.86vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University0.30-2.00vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-0.67+0.21vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-1.60+2.01vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois-1.10-0.38vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota-1.68+0.26vs Predicted
-
13Hope College-1.53-1.11vs Predicted
-
14Grand Valley State University-1.45-2.32vs Predicted
-
15Western Michigan University-1.84-2.27vs Predicted
-
16Washington University-1.65-3.75vs Predicted
-
17University of Notre Dame-2.87-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.54University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
-
3.52University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
-
3.78University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
-
5.27University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
7.51University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
5.66Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
-
7.86Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
-
6.0Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
-
9.21Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
12.01Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.62University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
-
12.26University of Minnesota-1.680.0%1st Place
-
11.89Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
11.68Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
12.73Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
12.25Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
15.19University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 22.7% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 18.0% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Myneni | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Tony Harkins | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 10.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
| Kate Norman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.