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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.18+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.22+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.43+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.68+6.43vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.67+1.03vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.27-1.08vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.30-4.05vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-1.10-0.48vs Predicted
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12Washington University-1.65+0.20vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.45-1.37vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-1.60-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-2.87+0.04vs Predicted
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16Hope College-1.53-4.18vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-1.84-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
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3.55University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Minnesota-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.57Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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9.03Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.92Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.95Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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12.2Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.63Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.17Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.82Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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12.81Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 20.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 20.6% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Justin Skene | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| George Warfel | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Myneni | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
| Kate Norman | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 50.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Tony Harkins | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.