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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.78+9.34vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+5.48vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+3.78vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+5.53vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.35+2.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+4.99vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.71vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.34-0.32vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-0.31vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.88vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.35-5.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.33vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-7.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.88vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.05-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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7.61Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.79Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.95SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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14.12SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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12.92Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Will Murray | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 28.6% |
| Jack Merrill | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.