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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+7.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+7.68vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+4.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+8.70vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+5.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.95vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-1.24vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.86vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.33vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.05vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.05-0.13vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.13-5.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-5.47vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.88vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.35-9.01vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.10-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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12.87Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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14.12SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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12.71SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Will Murray | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Merrill | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 28.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.