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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+10.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+7.71vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.45vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+5.51vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+2.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+6.95vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.78+1.16vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.15vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-3.05vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+2.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.35-5.30vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-1.47vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.05-1.99vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-7.74vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.13-8.13vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.32-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.95Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.25SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.7SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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13.01Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
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8.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Will Murray | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 30.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% |
| Jack Merrill | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.