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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+6.47vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+7.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+10.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+5.05vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-0.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-1.32vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.89vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.45vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.05-1.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-4.07vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.90vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-10.22vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-10.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.94SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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12.71Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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14.1SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack Merrill | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 28.3% |
| Will Murray | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.